The prognosis of Smith fractures is generally good with proper treatment. The risk of complications is higher in complex fractures, such as those with intra-articular traces, and when treatment is delayed or there hasn’t been adequate bone reduction or fixation.
One of the main complications is malunion, which happens when the bone heals in the wrong position, usually because the fracture wasn't properly aligned or stabilized during healing. A residual volar displacement is commonly referred to as a garden spade deformity since it has a similar curvature to a garden spade. A malunion may also lead to delayed carpal tunnel syndrome if the carpal tunnel becomes consistently narrowed. Malunion occurs more commonly in older adults with low bone density as they may have trouble maintaining the closed reduction.
Many people also experience complex regional pain syndrome (CRPS), characterized by chronic pain in the hand and wrist often associated with sensory, motor, or vasomotor issues. When the wrist is splinted at an angle greater than 15 degrees, there is an increased risk of acute CRPS. That’s because this positioning places increased tension in the muscles of the wrist and forearm, disrupting circulation and nerve signaling. CRPS is typically treated by physical and occupational therapy. Any continuing neuropathic pain may be treated with NSAIDs and adjunctive agents like gabapentin. Despite appropriate treatment, many individuals have some prolonged disability.
Less commonly, the extensor pollicis longus (EPL) may be entrapped or ruptured, resulting in an inability to extend the thumb. Typically, this occurs within seven weeks of the injury and is diagnosed after the EPL ruptures, at which point surgical treatment is necessary.